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Tuesday, May 4, 2010

How to pick the best stocks to invest in Part 1 of 2

It takes the best stock market predictions to achieve top stock market results, but choosing the best stocks to invest in is not easy. One approach professional investors and traders use is the fundamental analysis of stocks, where others prefer the technical analysis of stock market trend.
The fundamental analysis of stocks is based on criteria like Earnings per share, Price/Earnings ratio, PEG Ratio, Return on equity and Return on assets.

Whether you are looking for the best penny stocks to buy or any other hot stocks to trade, you will find the following five out 10 fundamental key metrics very useful. They pinpoint the characteristics shared by the top performing stocks before they made huge trading profits in short term.

1. Earnings per share - EPS
Definition:
EPS is the ratio of the company's net income to its number of outstanding shares (all stocks held by investors and the company's insiders).
What it measures:
Earnings-per-share (EPS) serves as an indicator of a company's profitability.
Recommended value:
No less than 80.
Interpretation:
If a company has displayed good growth over the last five- or 10-year period, it is likely to continue doing so in the next five to 10 years.
Observation:
There are many ways to define "earnings" and "shares outstanding". That led to different type of EPS.


2. Price/Earnings Ratio - P/E Ratio
Definition:
Ratio of a company' share price to its earnings per share.
What it measures:
How much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earnings.
Recommended value:
The best stocks to invest in usually have higher P/E compared to the market or industry average.
Interpretation:
If a company has displayed good growth over the last five- or 10-year period, it is likely to continue doing so in the next five to 10 years.
Observation:
There are different types of P/E but the most used is the trailing P/E calculated with the EPS from last four quarters.

3. Price/Earnings To Growth ratio - PEG Ratio
Definition:
PEG Ratio is the price/earnings(P/E) ratio divided by the projected year-over-year earnings growth rate.
What it measures:
How cheap the stock is.
Recommended value:
Less than one (PEG < 1)
Interpretation:
The value of PEG ratio
-below one is an indication of possibly undervalued stock.
-equals one suggests the market is pricing the stock to fully reflect the stock's EPS growth.
-above one means the stock is possibly overvalued or the stock market expects future EPS growth to be greater than what is currently in the street consensus number.
Observation:
PEG ratio cannot be used in isolation.

4. Return on equity - ROE
Definition:
It is the ratio of the company’s 12 month net income to its shareholder equity (book value).
What it measures:
How profitable the company is.
Recommended value:
No Less than one 15%.
Interpretation:
High debt companies have higher return-on-equities(ROEs) than low debt companies.
Observation:
Relying on ROE has a downside. You will end up overweighting your portfolio with high-debt stocks if you go by return-on-equity(ROE) alone.

5. Return on assets - ROA
Definition:
It's the net income divided by total assets.
What it measures:
How profitable the company is in relation to its total assets.
Recommended value:
Return on assets above 20% and higher is better. Avoid company with Return on assets below 5%.
Interpretation:
The lower the debt, the higher the Return on assets. A rising Return on Assets usually foretells a rising stock price.
Observation:
The assets of the company are comprised of both debt and equity. The ROA is some time called ROI.

In Part 2, we will look at the stocks fundamentals like Relative price strength, Cash Flow, Financial leverage ratio, Consencus-earnings-forecast

To boost your investments returns with good value market picks get our Hot stock picks.

Read Part 2 - How to pick the best stocks to buy.

For more information about investing in stock market, visit www.stockonrise.com

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